BYD's Stakeholdings Set to Go Public

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On the evening of October 8, the Hong Kong Stock Exchange made an important announcement regarding Horizon Robotics, marking a significant milestone for the autonomous driving technology company as it prepares to list on the Hong Kong stock market. This upcoming initial public offering (IPO) reflects not only Horizon's ambition but also the growing interest in intelligent driving solutions in the global automotive industry.

Founded in 2015 by Yu Kai, Horizon Robotics has positioned itself at the forefront of smart driving solutions that encompass a full spectrum of applications. The company is recognized for its proprietary hardware and software technologies that integrate sophisticated algorithms with dedicated processing units to deliver advanced driver-assistance systems (ADAS) and higher-level autonomous driving capabilities. As the global demand for intelligent transportation continues to surge, Horizon's role in this evolution is becoming increasingly pivotal.

With the automotive industry's rapid transition towards automation, Horizon has established a reputation for innovation. Recent consulting data indicates that, by the first half of 2024, Horizon will be ranked fourth among all providers of advanced driver-assistance and autonomous driving solutions in China, based on the total installed solutions. The company's technology has been adopted by 27 original equipment manufacturers (OEMs), covering 290 car models as of September 30, signaling solid market penetration and acceptance.

Despite its promising growth trajectory—2021 to 2023 saw revenue climbs from 467 million to over 1.55 billion yuan—the company still faces substantial financial challenges. Horizon reported a staggering net loss of 2.06 billion yuan in 2021, ballooning to 8.72 billion yuan in 2022. Although losses narrowed to 6.74 billion yuan in 2023, the reported figure for the first half of this year still reached nearly 5.1 billion yuan, compounding total losses to over 20 billion yuan in just three and a half years. This persistent unprofitability stems significantly from Horizon's sustained investments in technology research and development (R&D).

The autonomy sector is characterized by its technology-intensive nature, and rapid evolution is critical for maintaining competitiveness. To keep pace, Horizon is committed to augmenting its investment in R&D, optimizing products, and developing innovative solutions that are not only advanced but also safe and reliable for consumers. As they fortify their technological lead, Horizon anticipates that their annual losses will increase substantially in 2024, primarily due to escalating expenditures on autonomous driving and chip technology advancements, as well as the launch of new business ventures. However, Horizon believes that these strategic investments will lay the groundwork for market expansion and long-term profitability.

The shareholding structure of Horizon Robotics reflects its diverse investor base, showcasing a blend of strategic partnerships and institutional investments. Before the IPO, founder and major shareholder Yu Kai held a 14.85% stake, while other executives maintained smaller shares, illustrating the concentration of ownership. SAIC Motor held an 8.78% stake, highlighting an important collaboration between traditional automotive manufacturing and emerging technology trends.

The diverse roster of investors, including Intel Capital, BYD, and major automotive players like Volkswagen, encompasses a wealth of industry expertise, further enriching Horizon's capabilities and strategic positioning. As these stakeholders align their resources and expertise, the synergy holds promise for fostering innovation within the company’s operations and product offerings.

Looking ahead, Horizon Robotics expresses optimism about the future of higher-level autonomous driving solutions, buoyed by favorable policies and technological advancements. They foresee that commercial applications of these innovations will proliferate in mainstream vehicles, paving the way for novel business models such as autonomous taxi services. These emerging concepts have the potential to unlock considerable market opportunities within the exponentially evolving automotive landscape.

Forecasts suggest that by 2030, higher-level autonomous driving solutions will constitute over 60% of the total driving automation solutions available in the market. Notably, it is predicted that close to half of the driving automation solutions in Chinese passenger vehicles by 2027 will be higher-level solutions, with that number escalating to over 80% by 2030. The inherent technological advancements and regulatory tailwinds indicate a robust upward trajectory for Horizon Robotics and the broader sector, especially as consumers gravitate towards more intelligent and safer driving experiences.

In summary, as Horizon Robotics navigates its transition into a publicly listed entity, the broader implications for both investors and the automotive industry are significant. Their continued commitment to research and development, coupled with strategic partnerships, signals a forward-looking vision where autonomous driving technology becomes increasingly mainstream. With the industry positioned for explosive growth, the future of Horizon Robotics stands as a testament to the dramatic transformation of the automotive landscape into a realm dominated by smart technologies.

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